No clear favorite. 1000+ leads at just 32%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1000+ | 32% | +208% | $3K |
| 2 | 800-839 | 12% | +700% | $6K |
| 3 | 920-959 | 12% | +700% | $4K |
| 4 | 960-999 | 12% | +700% | $3K |
| 5 | 840-879 | 12% | +733% | $3K |
| 6 | 880-919 | 12% | +733% | $5K |
| 7 | 780-799 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $3K |
| 8 | 740-759 | 3% | +3822% | $508 |
| 9 | 760-779 | 2% | +4248% | $936 |
| 10 | 680-699 | 1% | +9424% | $497 |
| 11 | 640-659 | 1% | +10426% | $530 |
| 12 | 660-679 | 1% | +10426% | $491 |
| 13 | 700-719 | 1% | +10426% | $1K |
| 14 | 620-639 | 1% | +11665% | $498 |
| 15 | 720-739 | 1% | +11665% | $1K |
| 16 | 580-599 | 1% | +15285% | $2K |
| 17 | 600-619 | 1% | +18082% | $424 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and re...
This prediction market tracks whether Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? will occur, with $52K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — 1000+ leads at only 32% across 17 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (26% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 1000+ at 32% probability, with $52K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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