“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” leads at 75%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” | 75% | +33% | $35K |
| 2 | “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” BEST VALUE | 9% | +1005% | $20K |
| 3 | “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” | 4% | +2281% | $25K |
| 4 | “The Daily Show” | 3% | +3674% | $14K |
| 5 | “Saturday Night Live” | 3% | +3674% | $13K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awa...
This prediction market tracks whether Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series will occur, with $107K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” at 75%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $8K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” at 75% probability, with $107K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $107K, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms