The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 98% | +2% | $631 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax O/U 0.5 | 96% | +5% | - |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 90% | +10% | $2K |
| 5 | AFC Ajax 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 84% | +18% | - |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 84% | +20% | - |
| 7 | AFC Ajax O/U 1.5 | 81% | +23% | $1 |
| 8 | AFC Ajax 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 76% | +31% | - |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 76% | +32% | $3K |
| 10 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 63% | +59% | - |
| 11 | AFC Ajax (-1.5) | 60% | +68% | $504 |
| 12 | SBV Excelsior O/U 0.5 | 60% | +68% | $5 |
| 13 | AFC Ajax O/U 2.5 | 57% | +74% | $7 |
| 14 | Both Teams to Score | 57% | +75% | $344 |
| 15 | O/U 3.5 | 56% | +80% | $4K |
| 16 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 52% | +90% | $48 |
| 17 | AFC Ajax 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 18 | SBV Excelsior 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | AFC Ajax 1st Half O/U 3.5 BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Eredivisie game, scheduled for September 19 at 2:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 19, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 98% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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