The market strongly favors 1,800 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1,800 | 100% | +1% | $86 |
| 2 | 1,900 | 99% | +1% | $441 |
| 3 | 2,000 | 98% | +2% | $5K |
| 4 | 2,100 | 94% | +6% | $6K |
| 5 | 2,200 | 76% | +32% | $9K |
| 6 | 2,300 | 38% | +167% | $8K |
| 7 | 2,400 BEST VALUE | 7% | +1360% | $1K |
| 8 | 2,500 | 1% | +7307% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the pr...
This prediction market tracks whether Ethereum above ___ on October 31? will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
The market shows strong consensus: 1,800 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (52% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 29, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1,800 at 100% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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