The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia | 32% | $23K |
| 2 | France | 30% | $10K |
| 3 | Finland | 11% | $17K |
| 4 | Denmark | 10% | $18K |
| 5 | Czechia | 3% | $121K |
| 6 | Malta | 2% | $92K |
| 7 | Sweden | 2% | $28K |
| 8 | Ukraine | 1% | $4K |
| 9 | Latvia | 1% | $4K |
| 10 | Israel | 1% | $14K |
| 11 | Greece | 1% | $29K |
| 12 | Italy | 1% | $24K |
| 13 | Bulgaria | 1% | $11K |
| 14 | Germany | 1% | $58K |
| 15 | Cyprus | 1% | $19K |
| 16 | Croatia | 1% | $7K |
| 17 | Poland | 1% | $13K |
| 18 | Serbia | 1% | $19K |
| 19 | Austria | 1% | $44K |
| 20 | United Kingdom | 1% | $17K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Australia at 32% probability, with $654K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $654K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
Market Insights · Election Odds · Biggest Movers · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms · Alternatives · What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade