The market strongly favors Germany at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 2 | Austria | 100% | +0% | $484 |
| 3 | Canada | 100% | +0% | $6K |
| 4 | Italy | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 5 | North Macedonia | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 6 | Israel | 99% | +1% | $5K |
| 7 | Moldova | 97% | +3% | $675 |
| 8 | Belgium | 97% | +4% | $13K |
| 9 | Ireland | 6% | +1624% | $3K |
| 10 | Iceland BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $2K |
| 11 | Slovenia | 4% | +2464% | $6K |
| 12 | Spain | 2% | +5456% | $11K |
| 13 | Netherlands | 2% | +5782% | $30K |
| 14 | Kazakhstan | 1% | +18082% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2027 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) at the end of 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if...
This prediction market tracks whether Eurovision 2027 Participants will occur, with $84K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Germany is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (37% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-06-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Germany at 100% probability, with $84K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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