No clear favorite. Kimi Antonelli leads at just 38%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 38% | +160% | $1K |
| 2 | George Russell | 38% | +167% | $2K |
| 3 | Max Verstappen | 9% | +1011% | $1K |
| 4 | Lando Norris | 8% | +1076% | $2K |
| 5 | Charles Leclerc BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $2K |
| 6 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 4% | +2122% | $17 |
| 7 | Carlos Sainz Jr. | 4% | +2122% | - |
| 8 | Nico Hulkenberg | 4% | +2122% | $33 |
| 9 | Lewis Hamilton | 4% | +2122% | $2K |
| 10 | Oliver Bearman | 4% | +2122% | - |
| 11 | Oscar Piastri | 4% | +2122% | $2K |
| 12 | Arvid Lindblad | 4% | +2122% | $33 |
| 13 | Liam Lawson | 4% | +2122% | $33 |
| 14 | Valtteri Bottas | 4% | +2400% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date...
This prediction market tracks whether Catalunya Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kimi Antonelli leads at only 38% across 14 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 18:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Kimi Antonelli at 38% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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