This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercedes | 77% | $509K |
| 2 | Ferrari | 10% | $256K |
| 3 | McLaren | 8% | $1.3M |
| 4 | Red Bull Racing | 2% | $395K |
| 5 | Cadillac | 1% | $935K |
| 6 | Racing Bulls | 1% | $847K |
| 7 | Haas | 1% | $981K |
| 8 | Alpine | 1% | $940K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Mercedes at 77% probability, with $8.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $8.6M, with $365K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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