Kimi Antonelli leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 82% | +21% | $5K |
| 2 | Lando Norris | 71% | +41% | $2K |
| 3 | George Russell | 48% | +106% | $1K |
| 4 | Charles Leclerc | 41% | +144% | $2K |
| 5 | Oscar Piastri | 30% | +228% | $5K |
| 6 | Lewis Hamilton | 25% | +300% | $4K |
| 7 | Liam Lawson | 8% | +1190% | $136 |
| 8 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 7% | +1318% | $111 |
| 9 | Arvid Lindblad | 7% | +1329% | - |
| 10 | Franco Colapinto | 7% | +1360% | $32 |
| 11 | Pierre Gasly BEST VALUE | 5% | +1842% | $157 |
| 12 | Esteban Ocon | 4% | +2400% | $829 |
| 13 | Nico Hulkenberg | 4% | +2464% | $339 |
| 14 | Valtteri Bottas | 4% | +2497% | $369 |
| 15 | Alexander Albon | 4% | +2567% | $369 |
| 16 | Carlos Sainz Jr. | 4% | +2567% | $457 |
| 17 | Sergio Perez | 4% | +2640% | $369 |
| 18 | Lance Stroll | 4% | +2757% | $369 |
| 19 | Fernando Alonso | 1% | +8596% | $227 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. Otherwise...
This prediction market tracks whether Dutch Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Kimi Antonelli at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $28K traded in the last 24 hours alone (68% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 23, 2026 at 13:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Kimi Antonelli at 82% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms