No clear favorite. Kimi Antonelli leads at just 30%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 30% | +239% | $3K |
| 2 | Lando Norris | 18% | +441% | $339 |
| 3 | Lewis Hamilton | 16% | +506% | $221 |
| 4 | Charles Leclerc | 10% | +852% | $534 |
| 5 | Max Verstappen | 10% | +900% | $344 |
| 6 | George Russell | 8% | +1150% | $51 |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $2K |
| 8 | Liam Lawson | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 9 | Alexander Albon | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 10 | Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 11 | Sergio Perez | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 12 | Esteban Ocon | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 13 | Franco Colapinto | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 14 | Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 15 | Nico Hulkenberg | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 16 | Valtteri Bottas | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 17 | Lance Stroll | 1% | +10426% | $8K |
| 18 | Fernando Alonso | 1% | +14186% | - |
| 19 | Isack Hadjar | 1% | +15285% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market wi...
This prediction market tracks whether Dutch Grand Prix: Driver Winner will occur, with $97K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kimi Antonelli leads at only 30% across 19 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $95K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Kimi Antonelli at 30% probability, with $97K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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