No clear favorite. Kimi Antonelli leads at just 33%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi Antonelli | 33% | +203% | $7K |
| 2 | Lando Norris | 22% | +365% | $1K |
| 3 | George Russell | 18% | +441% | $6K |
| 4 | Charles Leclerc | 10% | +852% | $477 |
| 5 | Lewis Hamilton | 10% | +852% | $738 |
| 6 | Max Verstappen | 6% | +1438% | $4K |
| 7 | Oscar Piastri BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $90 |
| 8 | Isack Hadjar | 1% | +9424% | $63 |
| 9 | Pierre Gasly | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 10 | Fernando Alonso | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 11 | Alexander Albon | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 12 | Sergio Perez | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 13 | Franco Colapinto | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 14 | Carlos Sainz Jr. | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 15 | Nico Hulkenberg | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 16 | Valtteri Bottas | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 17 | Oliver Bearman | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 18 | Arvid Lindblad | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 19 | Liam Lawson | 1% | +9900% | - |
| 20 | Lance Stroll | 1% | +9900% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this marke...
This prediction market tracks whether Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kimi Antonelli leads at only 33% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 07, 2026 at 17:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Kimi Antonelli at 33% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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