No clear favorite. October Meeting leads at just 35%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | October Meeting | 35% | +186% | $3K |
| 2 | September Meeting | 25% | +300% | $4K |
| 3 | July Meeting BEST VALUE | 7% | +1349% | $3K |
| 4 | June Meeting | 1% | +15285% | $31K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee...
This prediction market tracks whether Fed rate hike by...? will occur, with $172K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — October Meeting leads at only 35% across 4 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $8K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is October Meeting at 35% probability, with $172K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $172K, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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