The market strongly favors England at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 86% | +17% | $57K |
| 2 | Draw (England vs. Costa Rica) BEST VALUE | 10% | +852% | $5K |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 5% | +1920% | $21K |
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This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 10, 2026 between England and Costa Rica.
This prediction market tracks whether England vs. Costa Rica will occur, with $80K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: England is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is England at 86% probability, with $80K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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