The market strongly favors Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots | 86% | +16% | $40 |
| 2 | Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots | 80% | +24% | $65 |
| 3 | Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots | 76% | +32% | $42 |
| 4 | Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots | 70% | +42% | $2K |
| 5 | Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots | 70% | +44% | $40 |
| 6 | Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots | 70% | +44% | $115 |
| 7 | Sadio Mané: 1+ shots | 69% | +45% | $41 |
| 8 | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots | 63% | +59% | $40 |
| 9 | Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots | 60% | +65% | $1K |
| 10 | Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots | 54% | +87% | $2K |
| 11 | Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots | 49% | +104% | $20 |
| 20 | Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | $52 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (79% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 12:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots at 86% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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