The market strongly favors Spain (-1.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $30.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain (-1.5) | 100% | - | $11.1M |
| 2 | Spain (-2.5) | 100% | - | $723K |
| 3 | O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $374K |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $743K |
| 5 | O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $3.4M |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $767K |
| 7 | Spain O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $147K |
| 8 | Spain O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $630K |
| 9 | Spain O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $266K |
| 10 | Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $46K |
| 11 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $5K |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $29K |
| 13 | Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 14 | Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $6K |
| 15 | Team to Advance | 100% | - | $5.0M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Spain vs. Austria - More Markets will occur, with $30.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Spain (-1.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $216K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 03, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Spain (-1.5) at 100% probability, with $30.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $30.4M, with $216K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms