Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots | 84% | +19% | - |
| 2 | Dani Olmo: 1+ shots | 74% | +34% | $11 |
| 3 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots | 72% | +40% | $1 |
| 4 | Alex Baena: 1+ shots | 70% | +44% | $46 |
| 5 | Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots | 64% | +57% | $2 |
| 6 | Pedri: 1+ shots | 62% | +63% | $10 |
| 7 | Patrick Pentz: 3+ saves | 49% | +104% | $160 |
| 8 | Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots | 49% | +104% | $2 |
| 9 | Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists | 48% | +107% | $210 |
| 10 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target | 48% | +108% | - |
| 11 | Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target | 48% | +108% | - |
| 12 | Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists | 48% | +109% | $235 |
| 13 | Patrick Pentz: 4+ saves | 48% | +110% | $160 |
| 14 | Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assists | 48% | +110% | $85 |
| 15 | Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals + assists | 48% | +110% | $10 |
| 16 | Rodri: 3+ goals + assists | 48% | +110% | $10 |
| 17 | Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target BEST VALUE | 48% | +111% | - |
| 18 | Dani Olmo: 3+ shots on target | 48% | +111% | - |
| 19 | Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target | 48% | +111% | - |
| 20 | Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target | 48% | +111% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Spain vs. Austria - Player Props will occur, with $33K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 02, 2026 at 03:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots at 84% probability, with $33K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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