Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots | 82% | +23% | $886 |
| 2 | Dani Olmo: 1+ shots | 76% | +32% | - |
| 3 | Alex Baena: 1+ shots | 73% | +37% | - |
| 4 | Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots | 69% | +45% | - |
| 5 | Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots | 67% | +49% | - |
| 6 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots | 66% | +50% | - |
| 7 | Rodri: 1+ shots | 62% | +61% | - |
| 8 | Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots | 61% | +64% | - |
| 9 | Youri Tielemans: 1+ shots | 60% | +65% | - |
| 10 | Hans Vanaken: 1+ shots | 58% | +71% | - |
| 11 | Pedro Porro: 1+ shots | 56% | +77% | - |
| 12 | Dani Olmo: 2+ shots | 54% | +87% | - |
| 13 | Pedri: 1+ shots | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Nicolas Raskin: 2+ shots on target | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ goals + assists | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals + assists | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Mikel Merino: 3+ goals + assists | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assists BEST VALUE | 49% | +104% | - |
| 19 | Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target | 49% | +104% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Spain vs. Belgium - Player Props will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots at 82% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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