The market strongly favors France (-1.5) at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $16.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France (-1.5) | 100% | - | $3.5M |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $592K |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $1.5M |
| 4 | O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $4.6M |
| 5 | O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $1.2M |
| 6 | Both Teams to Score | 100% | - | $1.7M |
| 7 | France O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $313K |
| 8 | France O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $224K |
| 9 | Senegal O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $210K |
| 10 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $6K |
| 11 | France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $545 |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $11K |
| 13 | France O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $150K |
| 14 | France 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $746 |
| 15 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $1K |
| 16 | Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $2K |
| 17 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% | - | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 3:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether France vs. Senegal - More Markets will occur, with $16.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: France (-1.5) is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $833K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 17, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is France (-1.5) at 100% probability, with $16.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $16.4M, with $833K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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