The market strongly favors Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots | 90% | +11% | $40 |
| 2 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots | 82% | +23% | $40 |
| 3 | Enner Valencia: 1+ shots | 72% | +40% | - |
| 4 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots | 57% | +75% | $40 |
| 5 | Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ shots | 56% | +80% | $40 |
| 6 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots | 55% | +82% | $88 |
| 7 | Enner Valencia: 2+ shots | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 8 | Jordy Caicedo: 1+ shots | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Jeremy Arévalo: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals + assists | 48% | +106% | - |
| 11 | Alexis Vega: 2+ shots on target | 48% | +106% | - |
| 12 | Kevin Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target | 48% | +106% | - |
| 13 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target | 48% | +106% | - |
| 14 | Carlos Acevedo: 3+ saves | 48% | +111% | $205 |
| 15 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots BEST VALUE | 47% | +113% | - |
| 16 | Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target | 47% | +113% | - |
| 17 | Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target | 47% | +113% | - |
| 18 | Alexis Vega: 1+ goals + assists | 47% | +113% | - |
| 19 | Alexis Vega: 2+ goals + assists | 47% | +113% | - |
| 20 | Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goals + assists | 47% | +113% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Mexico vs. Ecuador - Player Props will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (75% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots at 90% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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