The market strongly favors Harry Kane: 1+ shots at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Kane: 1+ shots | 90% | +12% | $123 |
| 2 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots | 76% | +31% | - |
| 3 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots | 72% | +38% | - |
| 4 | Harry Kane: 2+ shots | 72% | +40% | - |
| 5 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots | 68% | +46% | - |
| 6 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots | 55% | +83% | - |
| 7 | Harry Kane: 3+ shots | 53% | +89% | $883 |
| 8 | Armando González: 1+ shots on target BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Mexico vs. England - Player Props will occur, with $40K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Harry Kane: 1+ shots is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $40K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 05, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Harry Kane: 1+ shots at 90% probability, with $40K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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