The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 92% | +9% | $765 |
| 2 | Türkiye O/U 0.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 75% | +33% | $17 |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 72% | +40% | $4K |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 66% | +50% | $56 |
| 6 | Paraguay O/U 0.5 | 63% | +59% | $304 |
| 7 | Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 9 | Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 | 46% | +120% | $7K |
| 11 | Türkiye O/U 1.5 | 44% | +125% | $250 |
| 12 | Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 13 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 40% | +150% | $3K |
| 14 | Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 36% | +182% | $63 |
| 15 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 30% | +239% | $39 |
| 16 | Paraguay O/U 1.5 | 26% | +285% | $1K |
| 17 | O/U 3.5 | 24% | +326% | $364 |
| 18 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 23% | +335% | - |
| 19 | Türkiye (-1.5) | 22% | +344% | $4K |
| 20 | Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +413% | - |
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More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 11:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Türkiye vs. Paraguay - More Markets will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (44% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 18, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 92% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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