The market strongly favors 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 88% | +14% | - |
| 2 | O/U 0.5 | 80% | +25% | $40K |
| 3 | Olympique de Marseille O/U 0.5 | 60% | +67% | $441 |
| 4 | ES Troyes AC O/U 0.5 | 50% | +98% | $40 |
| 5 | 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | ES Troyes AC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | ES Troyes AC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | ES Troyes AC 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | ES Troyes AC 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 11 | Olympique de Marseille 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Olympique de Marseille 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Olympique de Marseille 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Olympique de Marseille 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | ES Troyes AC 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Olympique de Marseille 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille (-4.5) BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Olympique de Marseille (-5.5) | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | ES Troyes AC O/U 3.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | ES Troyes AC O/U 4.5 | 50% | +102% | $222 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 11 at 2:45 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets will occur, with $120K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $119K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 11, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 2nd Half O/U 0.5 at 88% probability, with $120K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $120K, with $119K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms