The market strongly favors $340 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $340 | 100% | +0% | $24K |
| 2 | $345 | 68% | +47% | $23 |
| 3 | $350 BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on July 21, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified pric...
This prediction market tracks whether Google (GOOGL) closes above ___ on July 21? will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $340 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $35K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is $340 at 100% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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