No clear favorite. July 9 leads at just 22%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | July 9 | 22% | +347% | $2K |
| 2 | July 16 | 19% | +429% | $4K |
| 3 | July 11 | 7% | +1329% | $293 |
| 4 | July 2 | 7% | +1371% | $1K |
| 5 | Not released before August | 6% | +1553% | $3K |
| 6 | July 7 | 6% | +1567% | $436 |
| 7 | July 10 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1595% | $3K |
| 8 | July 8 | 4% | +2122% | $321 |
| 9 | July 17 | 4% | +2400% | $532 |
| 10 | July 13 | 4% | +2532% | $420 |
| 11 | July 31 | 4% | +2640% | $401 |
| 12 | July 15 | 4% | +2757% | $563 |
| 13 | June 25 | 3% | +2841% | $3K |
| 14 | July 24 | 3% | +2841% | $711 |
| 15 | July 30 | 3% | +3075% | $335 |
| 16 | July 14 | 3% | +3179% | $569 |
| 17 | July 20 | 2% | +4155% | $302 |
| 18 | July 19 | 2% | +4155% | $153 |
| 19 | July 18 | 2% | +5163% | $240 |
| 20 | July 25 | 2% | +5456% | $153 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is...
This prediction market tracks whether GPT-5.6 released on...? will occur, with $34K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — July 9 leads at only 22% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (70% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 25, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is July 9 at 22% probability, with $34K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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