This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 40% | $104K |
| 2 | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 30% | $96K |
| 3 | Avengers: Doomsday | 16% | $146K |
| 4 | The Odyssey | 5% | $330K |
| 5 | Toy Story 5 | 2% | $137K |
| 6 | Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | 1% | $105K |
| 7 | Michael | 1% | $557K |
| 8 | Project Hail Mary | 1% | $166K |
| 9 | Dune: Messiah | 1% | $193K |
| 10 | The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 1% | $208K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 40% probability, with $2.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.6M, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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