This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44-45°F | 30% | $2K |
| 2 | 42-43°F | 24% | $2K |
| 3 | 40-41°F | 14% | $2K |
| 4 | 46-47°F | 13% | $1K |
| 5 | 52°F or higher | 8% | $4K |
| 6 | 48-49°F | 6% | $2K |
| 7 | 38-39°F | 5% | $2K |
| 8 | 50-51°F | 4% | $2K |
| 9 | 36-37°F | 2% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 31, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 44-45°F at 30% probability, with $28K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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