No clear favorite. 29°C leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29°C | 39% | +156% | $2K |
| 2 | 28°C | 25% | +300% | $691 |
| 3 | 30°C | 21% | +376% | $1K |
| 4 | 27°C BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | $454 |
| 5 | 31°C | 5% | +1920% | $853 |
| 6 | 32°C | 2% | +5614% | $222 |
| 7 | 26°C | 1% | +13233% | $508 |
| 8 | 33°C or higher | 1% | +15285% | $591 |
| 9 | 25°C | 1% | +18082% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market w...
This prediction market tracks whether Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15? will occur, with $8K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — 29°C leads at only 39% across 9 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 29°C at 39% probability, with $8K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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