0 (0 bps) leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $26.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 (0 bps) | 72% | +39% | $4.1M |
| 2 | 1 (25 bps) | 16% | +545% | $1.2M |
| 3 | 2 (50 bps) BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $1.2M |
| 4 | 3 (75 bps) | 3% | +2885% | $1.1M |
| 5 | 5 (125 bps) | 1% | +8233% | $1.4M |
| 6 | 4 (100 bps) | 1% | +8596% | $1.2M |
| 7 | 6 (150 bps) | 1% | +16567% | $2.4M |
| 8 | 12+ (300+ bps) | 1% | +18082% | $2.1M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FO...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 0 (0 bps) at 72% probability, with $26.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $26.4M, with $470K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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