No clear favorite. 0 – 50k leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 – 50k | 26% | +285% | $18K |
| 2 | 50k – 100k | 26% | +292% | $5K |
| 3 | -50k – 0 | 17% | +490% | $3K |
| 4 | 100k – 150k | 14% | +625% | $4K |
| 5 | <-50k | 13% | +684% | $7K |
| 6 | 150k+ BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 20...
This prediction market tracks whether How many jobs added in August? will occur, with $39K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
No clear favorite has emerged — 0 – 50k leads at only 26% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (21% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 03:55 UTC, the leading outcome is 0 – 50k at 26% probability, with $39K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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