This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 350k–375k | 74% | $152K |
| 2 | <350k | 20% | $270K |
| 3 | 375k–400k | 7% | $57K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the leading outcome is 350k–375k at 74% probability, with $814K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $814K, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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