The market strongly favors 70-80B at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70-80B BEST VALUE | 96% | +4% | $75K |
| 2 | 80-90B | 2% | +4248% | $40K |
| 3 | 60-70B | 1% | +10426% | $30K |
| 4 | 110-120B | 1% | +15285% | $21K |
| 5 | 50-60B | 1% | +18082% | $51K |
| 6 | 90-100B | 1% | +18082% | $24K |
| 7 | <40B | 1% | +18082% | $26K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value...
This prediction market tracks whether How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO? will occur, with $334K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: 70-80B is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $15K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 70-80B at 96% probability, with $334K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $334K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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