The market strongly favors $1000+ at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1000+ | 98% | +2% | $2K |
| 2 | $1100+ | 95% | +5% | $9K |
| 3 | $1150+ | 92% | +8% | $7K |
| 4 | $1200+ BEST VALUE | 63% | +59% | $13K |
| 5 | $1300+ | 3% | +3290% | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the...
This prediction market tracks whether How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $1000+ is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (33% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-03-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 07, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is $1000+ at 98% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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