The market strongly favors Cerebras at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $7.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cerebras | 100% | - | $428K |
| 2 | SpaceX | 100% | - | $697K |
| 3 | Wealthfront | 100% | - | $23K |
| 4 | Once Upon a Farm | 100% | - | $215K |
| 5 | SHEIN | 100% | - | $121K |
| 6 | Anthropic | 84% | +18% | $555K |
| 7 | Discord | 11% | +848% | $480K |
| 8 | Epic Games | 9% | +970% | $91K |
| 9 | Perplexity | 8% | +1233% | - |
| 10 | ByteDance | 7% | +1381% | $31K |
| 11 | Fannie Mae | 6% | +1438% | $176K |
| 12 | Remote BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $56K |
| 13 | Anduril | 4% | +2122% | $363K |
| 14 | Rippling | 4% | +2122% | $122K |
| 15 | Deel | 4% | +2122% | $135K |
| 16 | Anysphere (Cursor) | 4% | +2173% | $103K |
| 17 | Vanta | 4% | +2281% | $148K |
| 18 | OpenAI | 4% | +2432% | $554K |
| 19 | Ledger | 4% | +2432% | $514K |
| 20 | Databricks | 4% | +2497% | $491K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news so...
This prediction market tracks whether IPOs before 2027? will occur, with $7.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: Cerebras is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $51K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 18, 2026 at 09:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Cerebras at 100% probability, with $7.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $7.3M, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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