This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Once Upon a Farm | 100% | $215K |
| 2 | Wealthfront | 100% | $23K |
| 3 | SpaceX | 92% | $441K |
| 4 | Cerebras | 92% | $277K |
| 5 | Discord | 61% | $381K |
| 6 | Anthropic | 42% | $159K |
| 7 | Ledger | 42% | $473K |
| 8 | Databricks | 39% | $445K |
| 9 | OpenAI | 36% | $189K |
| 10 | Deel | 36% | $117K |
| 11 | Remote | 29% | $51K |
| 12 | Canva | 28% | $20K |
| 13 | SHEIN | 27% | $60K |
| 14 | Freddie Mac | 24% | $223K |
| 15 | Ripple Labs | 24% | $130K |
| 16 | Anduril Industries | 24% | $18K |
| 17 | Epic Games | 24% | $66K |
| 18 | Vanta | 22% | $109K |
| 19 | Celonis | 22% | $194K |
| 20 | Ramp | 20% | $136K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:40 UTC, the leading outcome is Once Upon a Farm at 100% probability, with $5.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.2M, with $60K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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