No clear favorite. December 31 leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $1.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 16% | +545% | $235K |
| 2 | August 31 | 6% | +1670% | $47K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…? will occur, with $1.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — December 31 leads at only 16% across 2 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $51K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
As of Aug 05, 2026 at 06:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 16% probability, with $1.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.0M, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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