The market strongly favors ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham | 100% | - | $59K |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $10 |
| 3 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $6 |
| 6 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 8 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 9 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 10 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 11 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 12 | ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Chase Ferguson and Derek Pham in the ITF Men Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson'...
This prediction market tracks whether ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 23:55 UTC, the leading outcome is ITF Brisbane: Chase Ferguson vs Derek Pham at 100% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms