Market is split — M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 Winner at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | $18K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Carel Aubriel Ngounoue and Roan Jones in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 Winner leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 10, 2026 at 06:05 UTC, the leading outcome is M15 Monastir: Carel Aubriel Ngounoue vs Roan Jones Set 1 Winner at 52% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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