The market strongly favors W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Match O/U 21.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 6 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 7 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Match O/U 22.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 8 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Match O/U 23.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 9 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle | 59% | +69% | $17K |
| 10 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Maria Lourdes Carle in the W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market...
This prediction market tracks whether W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer: Federica Urgesi vs Maria Lourdes Carle Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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