The market strongly favors ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian | 100% | - | $35K |
| 2 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 5 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $13 |
| 10 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | $3 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaowei Li and Niehua Tian in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xiaowei Li' if Xiao...
This prediction market tracks whether ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian will occur, with $35K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $35K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian at 100% probability, with $35K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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