Market is split — 2.0-2.4% at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.0-2.4% | 54% | +87% | $13K |
| 2 | ≤1.9% | 35% | +186% | $10K |
| 3 | 4.0%+ BEST VALUE | 9% | +1030% | $664 |
| 4 | 2.5-2.9% | 3% | +3126% | $8K |
| 5 | 3.0-3.4% | 2% | +6567% | $479 |
| 6 | 3.5-3.9% | 1% | +6797% | $535 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between...
This prediction market tracks whether Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026 will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
The market is closely contested, with 2.0-2.4% leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (30% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-02-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 07:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 2.0-2.4% at 54% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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