No clear favorite. Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | 10% | +926% | $436K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will...
This prediction market tracks whether Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? will occur, with $436K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? leads at only 10% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $12K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? at 10% probability, with $436K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $436K, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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