Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +21% | $17K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 74% | +36% | $202 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +38% | $277 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% | +64% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% | +64% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 55% | +83% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 54% | +87% | $2K |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 16, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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