The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $5K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 84% | +20% | $62 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 82% | +23% | $2K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 68% | +46% | $5K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 60% | +67% | $43 |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 60% | +68% | $43 |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 08, 2026 at 09:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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