Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +23% | $787 |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +39% | $902 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $105 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5) | 52% | +90% | $11K |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +150% | $5 |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +264% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +264% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors BEST VALUE | 26% | +277% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 30, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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