Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $42K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +38% | $18K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 70% | +43% | $3K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Winthrop University in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 23 at 8:00PM ET. This market will res...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage will occur, with $74K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $74K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 23, 2026 at 23:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $74K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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