The market strongly favors Match Winner at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 86% | +17% | $6K |
| 2 | Game 4 Winner | 72% | +38% | $208 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $263 |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 72% | +40% | $75 |
| 5 | Game 1 Winner | 70% | +42% | $354 |
| 6 | Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Fuego (+1.5) | 70% | +42% | $4K |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 64% | +57% | - |
| 8 | O/U 3.5 Games | 58% | +71% | $49 |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 54% | +85% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 53% | +89% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Cupid Esports and Fuego in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will re...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Cupid Esports vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 06, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 86% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms