Market is split — Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | $29 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 52% | +94% | $30 |
| 4 | Match Winner | 52% | +94% | $26K |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $61 |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 48% | +111% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 46% | +115% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00AM ET....
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (81% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 52% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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