Match Winner leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 60% | +65% | $13K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 57% | +74% | $910 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 56% | +77% | $903 |
| 4 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $3K |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 48% | +111% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 48% | +111% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 42% | +141% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and BNK FearX Youth in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for August 11 at 4:00AM ET. This marke...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $19K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 60% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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