Market is split — First Blood in Game 1? at 53%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 53% | +89% | - |
| 2 | Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 52% | +90% | $18K |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 48% | +106% | $293 |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 39% | +156% | $82 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disgui...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $41K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with First Blood in Game 1? leading at just 53%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 23, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 53% probability, with $41K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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