Match Winner leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 64% | +57% | $114K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 60% | +68% | $511 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 60% | +68% | $184 |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% | +96% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 49% | +104% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% | +104% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This mark...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage will occur, with $115K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $114K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 64% probability, with $115K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $115K, with $114K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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