Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +31% | $14K |
| 2 | Game 4 Winner | 72% | +39% | $213 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 68% | +48% | $580 |
| 4 | Game 3 Winner | 67% | +49% | $15 |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 66% | +50% | $15 |
| 6 | O/U 3.5 Games | 65% | +54% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | 61% | +64% | $5K |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 54% | +87% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% | +96% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will res...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (76% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 14, 2026 at 18:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms